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Project - Combining behaviour-based and epidemiological models to identify the role of Arctic breeding migratory birds in the ecology of diseases, notably Avian Influenza

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Publications

Stephen J. Galsworthy, Quirine A. ten Bosch, et al., 2011. Effects of Infection-Induced Migration Delays on the Epidemiology of Avian Influenza in Wild Mallard Populations. PLoS ONE 6 (10), e26118Hiroshi Nishiura, Gerardo Chowell, et al., 2010. Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009. Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 7 (1)Hoye, B.J., Munster, V., et al., 2010. Reconstructing an annual cycle of interaction: natural infection and antibody dynamics to avian influenza along a migratory flyway. Oikos 120 (5), 748-755Hiroshi Nishiura, Gerardo Chowell, et al., 2010. The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course. Journal of The Royal Society Interface 7 (43), 297-307Hiroshi Nishiura, Nick Wilson, & Michael G Baker, 2009. Quarantine for pandemic influenza control at the borders of small island nations. BMC Infectious Diseases 9 (1)H Nishiura & K Iwata, 2009. A simple mathematical approach to deciding the dosage of vaccine against pandemic H1N1 influenza. Eurosurveillance 14 (45)Hiroshi Nishiura, 2009. Excess risk of stillbirth during the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Japan. European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology 147 (1), 115Hiroshi Nishiura, Don Klinkenberg, et al., 2009. Early Epidemiological Assessment of the Virulence of Emerging Infectious Diseases: A Case Study of an Influenza Pandemic. PLoS ONE 4 (8), e6852H Nishiura, C Castillo-Chavez, et al., 2009. Transmission potential of the new influenza A(H1N1) virus and its age-specificity in Japan. Eurosurveillance 14 (22)Hiroshi Nishiura, Bethany Hoye, et al., 2009. How to find natural reservoir hosts from endemic prevalence in a multi-host population: A case study of influenza in waterfowl. Epidemics 1 (2), 118-128Hisashi Inaba & Hiroshi Nishiura, 2008. The state-reproduction number for a multistate class age structured epidemic system and its application to the asymptomatic transmission model. Mathematical Biosciences 216 (1), 77-89H. Inaba & H. Nishiura, 2008. The Basic Reproduction Number of an Infectious Disease in a Stable Population: The Impact of Population Growth Rate on the Eradication Threshold. Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena 3 (7), 194-228

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